Capacity Building for Scenario Development: Climate Change and Water-Food-Energy Security in Central Asia

Project name: Capacity Building for Scenario Development: Climate Change and Water-Food-Energy Security in Central Asia
Donor: OSCE Secretariat in Vienna
Key Partner: Adelphi Consulting GmbH
Project period: 2011 – 2012
Territory: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan

The project aimed at finding a scenario-building process on the impact of climate change in Central Asia. The workshop with experts and regional stakeholders (November 2011, Dushanbe) focused on developing scenarios on how the interaction of climate change, political stability and economic growth may impact the food-water-energy nexus. In addition, it aimed at developing recommendations.

The project results:

  • training on building actionable scenarios which may support identifying policy options and strategies to mitigate potential security threats of climate change in Central Asia
  • weak signals of threats to security by climate change and potentially developing early warning indicators identified
  • interlinkages between climate change impacts in Central Asia identified
  • gaps in existing knowledge, uncertainties and needs for further research highlighted

The project contributed to a better understanding of the complex dynamics of climate change impacts and spur learning processes on how to react to them

Read the Scenario Report